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fat cattle prices 2020

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But we can say that the fear and uncertainty the virus has caused in world markets will subside, and that markets will regain stability and return to normal.

Copyright © 2020. Hughes is a North Dakota State University professor emeritus.

Monthly cattle prices have averaged $107.40 so far in 2020. February’s business meeting. USDA publishes a weekly market summary for the local sale barn (Figure 1.) Let’s look forward at feeder cattle prices. Yearlings off grass tend to finish shortly after the first of the year at a time of better slaughter prices.

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The first number is my projected price onto grass, and the second number is the projected price off grass.

Finishing in midsummer just tends to hit some lower prices.

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. Second, Figure 3 suggests a slightly higher spring 2021 price peak over spring 2020 — an early suggestion of a start to the next beef price cycle. What stands out in Figure 1’s prices is the wide variation of prices around the red line.

https://www.beefmagazine.com/sites/all/themes/penton_subtheme_beefmagazine/images/logos/footer.png. The differences between the gold and red bars in Figure 2 give a general direction of a year’s price changes over the last 30 days. Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.

All rights reserved. The distance of the dots from the line represents price premiums and price discounts. The net result is that my current projection is a $100-plus net return from grass cattle in 2020. Live Cattle decreased 17 USd/Lbs or 13.54% since the beginning of 2020, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity.

Starting at a few sales at $103, prices moved to $107 yesterday.

During this last cycle, my study herd manager had a history of marketing his calves at fall weaning time. This included spending some travel time visiting custom feedlots trying to evaluate the potential for custom feeding some of his future calf crops. Five-hundred-fifty-pound steer calves in fall 2020 are projected $7 higher than in fall 2019.

If we are going to conduct some market planning for 2020, we need to look at feeder cattle prices down the road. I frequently write about trying to finish spring-born calves in May instead of June, knowing very well that this is a difficult goal. Feeders labeled Fleshy by the market reporter sold for an average of $10.86 per cwt lower. I study the monthly changes and the yearly trend change, always looking at target months that my study herd manager might market feeders. I decided to document the price premiums and discounts in his market for mid-February.

Those labeled Fancy by the market reporter sold for an average $4.78 per cwt higher. Note the top two-thirds of the table covers feeder cattle prices, and the rows beginning “Slaughter” and “Futures months” cover slaughter cattle prices.

As we normally do, the February meeting started out studying market prices for the most current local weekly action market.

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